Kentucky Derby 2015 picks and predictions: Flip a coin between American Pharoah and Dortmund
Horse racing experts enter the mainstream for only a few weeks a year, but this is their biggest moment. With Saturday's Kentucky Derby comes the usual excitement along with the renewed hope of another potential Triple Crown chase. After California Chrome came as close as he did last year, the sport is ready to embrace another chase at history in 2015.
American Pharoah is the 5/2 favorite in Saturday's Run for the Roses, and many racing pundits see in Bob Baffert's colt what the oddsmakers do. He's untested, but the talent is undeniable.
Gary West of ESPN.com, in a publication at the Louisville Courier-Journal. says he's seen enough to know how American Pharoah will respond when pressed in the Run for the Roses.
American Pharoah does things easily that others have to struggle to accomplish, and now that he has won the Rebel Stakes and the Arkansas Derby in dominating stye without feeling the encouragement of a whip the question becomes how much more talent, energy and speed could he possess; and, of course, that's the question the 141st Derby should answer.
Sports Illustrated's Tim Layden is going with another Bob Baffert-trained horse in Dortmund. The 3/1 second choice, Dortmund
is a popular pick because of his size and more favorable post position. American Pharoah will start on the far outside in the No. 17 gate, while Dortmund will come out of the more manageable No. 7 gate.
In picking Dortmund -- or any horse other than American Pharoah -- Layden admits he's going against a possibly historic horse. But Dortmund has been tested, Layden wrote, and that goes a long way in a 19-horse race. From Layden :
Here in Kentucky (American Pharoah) glided so efficiently over the Churchill Downs oval in his one serious workout that clockers were stunned at how fast he ran. There’s little question he has immense talent, and if he wins the Derby impressively I will shamelessly jump on his bandwagon with both feet and being comparing him to great thoroughbreds of the past. But not yet.
Experts are most often picking either American Pharoah or Dortmund, but there's no clear favorite among them. The Lexington Herald-Leader polled 24 media members. 11 picked Dortmund, eight picked American Pharoah and five went with another horse from the field.
If none of the experts satisfy your need for answers before Saturday's race, go with a longshot. Fred the cat picked Mr. Z. a 50/1 shot starting next to American Pharoah on the outside.